News

09.03.2016

Bearish consolidation for Gold. Lack of follow-through for Silver

Bearish consolidation for Gold • Gold's bullish momentum keeps going despite yesterday's consolidation. Hourly resistance is given at 1279 (04/03/2015 high). Hourly supports lies at 1250 (04/03/2016 low). Expected to show continued strengthening. • In the long-term, the technical structure suggests that there is a growing upside momentum. A break of 1392 (17/03/2014) is necessary ton confirm it, A major support can be found at 1045 (05/02/2010 low).

 
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08.03.2016

The Swiss economy shows signs of improvements after a very difficult 2015.

Swiss unemployment fell in February to 3.7% from 3.8% in January. Although there is a seasonal factor to take into consideration, hiring generally only really starts to pick up in the month of March. CPI figures in February also bettered expectations with prices rising 0.2% compared to a drop of -0.4% in January and -0.1% expected. These, are first signs of improvements after a very difficult year in 2015. It will be interesting to see whether the Swiss economy can keep up the momentum over the coming months.

 
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08.03.2016

Eurozone: fourth quarter GDP revised to 1.6%, investment booming

Today Eurostat reports the Eurozone GDP in the fourth quarter. Here the analysis and the comments of ING Bank in view of the meeting of the ECB. 

 
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08.03.2016

S&P's: financial conditions in the Eurozone take a slight turn for the better. What to expect from the ECB

The latest financial data now show an easing in financial and monetary conditions in the eurozone, with credit data indicating that the recovery is still on track

 
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07.03.2016

Focus ON: Negative Interest Rates and Deflation (W. Snyder)

Hyperinflation for goods and services has so far not been evident despite QE while the prices of equities have risen inversely in respect to bond yields. The central bankers follow the latest fad for negative interest rates after almost a decade of ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy). Salaries have generally remained stable in the USA, EU and Japan. So there is no salary rise-cost of production rise-product price rise inflation cycle. Negative interest rates were introduced by the SNB (Swiss National Bank) to discourage foreigners buying Swiss francs in order to avoid appreciation of the currency. That was when the Swiss franc was still considered a safe haven.

 
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07.03.2016

In case of Brexit: fear the uncertainty

The most recent polls point to a vote of 44% vs. 40% in favour of remaining in the EU. But polls predictions missed the Scottish independence referendum and the 2015 UK general election. Betting markets currently attach a probability of 25-30% to the possibility of Brexit. Also if probably the UK will stay in the EU what could be the outcome in case of Brexit?

 
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07.03.2016

Another ‘menu’ of easing, but will it be enough?

We expect the ECB to announce another menu of monetary policy easing including a 10bp deposit rate cut together with an introduction of a two-tier deposit rate system and a front-loading of the QE purchases.

 
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07.03.2016

Bank for International Settlements warns of negative rates risk

The BIS published research on Sunday which cautioned that it was difficult to predict how individuals or financial institutions would behave if rates were to fall further below zero or stay negative for a long period. 

 
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07.03.2016

US economy creates hefty 242K jobs in February; unemployment rate at 4.9%

The US economy created more jobs than expected in February, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged, highlighting the ongoing improvement in the labour market. US non-farm payrolls increased by 242,000 last month, compared with economists' expectations for 195,000 new jobs, according to the Labor Department. Moreover, the previous two months' revisions were positive, adding a net 30,000 uncounted jobs.

 
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04.03.2016

Giving Credit Where It’s Due

Does the US investment-grade credit market, in bear territory for nearly two years, finally offer more reward than risk of a larger default cycle?

 
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