News

21.03.2016

Metals to perform on weaker USD and rising rates

 
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18.03.2016

Euro area: Moody's, recovery ongoing, but reform efforts are fading and political risks rising

The credit quality of euro area sovereigns will likely remain stable in 2016-17, supported by moderate economic growth and stabilizing debt-to-GDP ratios. But there are some factors that create longer-term risks. It's what has emerged from the Moody's report, entitled "Outlook Stable Overall, But Reform Efforts Are Fading And Political Risks Are Rising".

 
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18.03.2016

Transport, Property, Leisure Firms Most Exposed to Brexit

The impact of Britain's exit from the European Union would be broadly negative for UK corporates, with the transport, property and leisure industries at most risk along with smaller retailers, Fitch Rating says. In contrast, some exporters would benefit from moderate sterling depreciation, as long as a new trade deal was swiftly negotiated.

 
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17.03.2016

SNB ready to react but no need right now

The SNB is clearly in a reactive stance rather than taking a proactive strategy. As we had expected, the SNB held its policy rates unchanged (Sight deposit rate -0.75% & 3month Libor -0.25% to -0.75%) while not tinkering with tightening banks threshold exemptions on negative rates.

 
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16.03.2016

European Economics: stronger cyclical headwind and higher political pressure

 
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16.03.2016

LSE and Deutsche Boerse agree 30 bln $ merger

London Stock Exchange and Deutsche Boerse agree this morning 30 bln $ merger, creating Europe’s biggest securities-markets operator

 
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16.03.2016

Hawkish FOMC to trigger USD rally

The focus today is first on the US CPI release and then the Federal Open Market Committee meeting later. The market is looking for a core CPI reading of +2.2%, unchanged from the January reading. The post-global financial crisis high for a single month was 2.3% back in April, 2012.

 
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16.03.2016

Us retail sales point to weakness in US economy; Fed to stay pat

"The economy's engines are not going into reverse ... but at the moment, it is hard to see GDP with a 2 percent handle. Based on today's lackluster sales report, policymakers will be in no hurry to raise interest rates"

 
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15.03.2016

Expected Changes To The FOMC Statement

Growth and inflation have picked up a bit, which we expect the FOMC to acknowledge. The Fed’s LMCI fell in both January and February, but we think the strength in the core employment indicators from both the household and establishment survey data supports the conclusion that labor markets have improved since the FOMC’s last meeting.

 
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15.03.2016

Waiting for the Fed: more rate hikes unlikely after June as elections get closer

Financial markets are currently discounting a 51% probability of a rate hike in June. But what after that? US central bankers look much more cautious than they were at the beginning of the year. 

 
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