As a stock picker and value investor I rarely get involved in discussing macro issues during Investment Committees or during meetings with clients. Anyway, since talking about Trump, Macron, volatility and US Non-Farm Payrolls seems to be fund managers’ main occupation, I’ll try my best… But please, as grandpa Warren once told us, always remember: “Market forecasters will fill your ear but never fill your wallet”. The swings of economies and financial markets resemble the swings of a pendulum. They spend most of the time oscillating near the average, swinging toward or away from the extremes of the arc. But when they reach one extreme you can be sure that sooner or later they are going to swing back to the midpoint. That’s because the effort needed to reach the extreme is the premise for the swing back. It goes without saying that investors don’t have to get caught in that movement (…and hopefully profit from that). But, and there is one big fat “BUT”: no one can constantly and correctly predict the timing of the “swing back”. The only thing that we can do is trying to figure out what the market conditions are at present. In better words: “We may never know where we’re going, but we’d better have a good idea where we are” (H. Marks).
Here’s an asset class that continues to defy the odds. Despite concerns of high debt levels, growing geopolitical risks and sluggish global growth, emerging markets (EM) corporate debt has once again delivered another year of impressive results. This year sees a continuation of many of the same challenges, not least the uncertainty over what Donald Trump’s US presidency will look like. Anyone hoping that Trump’s campaign promises were just talk won’t have been overly encouraged by his first week in the White House. The Republican has already signed two proclamations, seven executive orders and seven presidential memoranda. His decision to ban the entry of citizens from seven predominantly Muslim countries has ruffled more than a few international feathers, while his pledge to renounce the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade deal – a signature policy of Obama – has also raised eyebrows.
On Wednesday OECD released the global economic outlook in Paris. According to its forecasts over Switzerland, GDP growth is projected to rise gradually, which will reduce unemployment. The low interest rate environment is set to continue, helping to revive domestic demand. Deflation seems to have been overcome, but inflation is projected to remain low through 2018. The large current account surplus will persist.
The value of sustainable investments held by Swiss asset owners almost doubled in the past year, according to a survey by Forum Nachhaltige Geldanlagen (FNG), the association for sustainable investments in Germany, Switzerland, and Austria, which reported that sustainable investments grew to CHF104bn (€95.8bn) as of year-end 2016, compared to CHF55bn a year earlier.
Switzerland is supporting free trade and globalization as the means to make the Swiss economy more prosperous and intends to extend the number of such agreements in the near future, Joerg Gasser, Switzerland's State Secretary for International Financial Matters at the Federal Department of Finance (FDF), told media on Friday on the sidelines of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF).
Spain's Banco Santander said Wednesday it will take over struggling Banco Popular Espanol for the symbolic price of 1 euro, creating the country's largest bank by lending and deposits, according to a press statement. "This means that Banco Popular will operate under normal business conditions as a solvent and liquid member of the Santander Group with immediate effect," the board said.
Apple unveiled a host of new products, updates and software features at its annual Worldwide Developer's Conference (WWDC) on Monday, and one of them could potentially save lives. The upcoming iOS will include a feature called 'Do Not Disturb While Driving" that will make it easier to avoid texting while driving. By all indications, it's rather simple tool from a technological standpoint — but if it works as advertised, iPhone's 'Do Not Disturb' feature could prevent car accidents and traffic fatalities, which is more than enough to make it a worthwhile update.
Wealthy people are dodging even more tax than previously thought, according to new research. Economist Gabriel Zucman and his co-authors Annette Alstadsaeter and Niels Johannesen, from the University of Copenhagen and the Norwegian University of Life Sciences, matched the identities in both caches to tax records in Norway, Sweden and Denmark. Their goal was “to correct global inequality statistics, so as to better capture the very rich.”
After several years of snatching the prize from each other, Google has managed to fight off Apple to defend its position as the world’s most valuable brand in Kantar Millward Brown’s 2017 BrandZ ranking. The internet giant has extended its lead after achieving a 7% increase to $246bn, compared to Apple’s 3% rise to $235bn, meaning there is now a 4.4% value difference between to two global leaders. Last year it was far closer at 0.3%. Microsoft (third) and Facebook (fifth) have also managed to retain their positions in the top five, with the former increasing brand value by 18% to $143bn and Facebook seeing a 27% boost to create a brand value of $130bn. The annual BrandZ ranking, which is compiled by WPP consultancy Kantar Millward Brown, is based on a combination of millions of consumer interviews and each company’s financial performance.
Cet événement, organisé par Business and Professional Women (BPW) Switzerland, le magazine L'Agef
La relazione con le banche, le aspettative delle parti e le problematiche pratiche
Trust, fondazioni e altri istituti di pianificazione
Die Investora Zürich bringt das Top-Management von börsenkotierten Schweizer Firmen mit Small- und
Dieser Intensivkurs bietet Ihnen praxisorientierten Uberblick der modernen konzepte, die Sie als ins
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