The USD/JPY currency pair behaved in accordance with expectations on Thursday, having successfully retaken the 113.00 level and leaving the immediate resistance area intact. Despite technical indicators retaining bullish signals, the Buck now is under higher risk of weakening against the Japanese currency, as the pair still faces a rather strong resistance, now formed by the weekly R2 and the 23.60% Fibo. Even if bulls manage to push the Greenback higher, a surge beyond the ascending channel's resistance line at 114.44 is unlikely. The base case scenario is a decline up to 100 pips, as a slump further would imply a downside breach of the channel pattern.
Today 70% of traders are short the US Dollar, compared to 67% on Thursday. Meanwhile, 58% of all pending orders are to sell the Buck.
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