News by tag: economy

14.11.2017

Expert Commentary: Focus on US economic outlook

What is likely to affect the US economic activity in the near term? I suppose that the US economy is on a fairly solid and steady growth path at the moment. I think that there are no serious policy errors and the economy will continue to show steady performance in the near term. However, possible policy errors would be an upturning protectionist action and probably the ending of the NAFTA, while tax measures would make a positive contribution to the economy. Nevertheless, I do not think the economic impact of the latter would be as strong as some people hope; there would be a moderate support and sustaining recovery rather than a strong boost. 

 
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03.10.2017

Supercharged: the car industry in a post-oil world

Nobody knows for certain what cars will look like in 2050, but we can make some sensible guesses based on the research and development that companies are doing today.

 
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28.09.2017

Expert Commentary: Focus on Canadian Economy and CAD

Latest reports revealed that the Consumer Price Index for July remained at about the same level it was seen back in June, when it was reported to have increased 1.2% y/y/. Is it reasonable to expect a higher inflation in the next quarter? Yes, we do see inflation in Canada grinding higher in the next 3-6 months, though it is going to be a slow track up to the bank's 2% target. Some of the weaknesses has occurred due to temporary factors that are likely going to reverse to some extent in the nearest future. At this point, we continue to believe that the economy is operating at a relatively high level and that the growth will create modest inflation pressure.

 
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20.09.2017

War games

Tensions have risen sharply on the Korean peninsula this year, as North Korea (NK) has accelerated the pace of rocket launches and has conducted its sixth nuclear test. In response, the United Nations has adopted its strongest sanctions yet, but the fault lines remain.

 
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17.07.2017

Visa offers $10000 for restaurants which avoid cash

Visa has declared war on cash and its "opening salvo" is to start paying restaurants $10,000 to go completely cash free. The credit card giant is this week announcing a new plan to hand out thousands of dollars to up to 50 small food and restaurant vendors if they agree to stop taking cash. If a restaurant opts in, it'll get a $10,000 gift from Visa, which can be used to pay for technology upgrades and marketing. Those tech upgrades could mean installing platforms that that accept payments from phones, smart watches or other devices. In return, Visa wants the merchant to agree to stop accepting cash, the company said

 
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03.07.2017

Global debt now surges at $28000 for each person

Global debt levels have surged to a record $217 trillion in the first quarter of the year. This is 327% of the world's annual economic output (GDP), reports the Institute of International Finance (IIF). It has grown by $75 trillion since the 2007-08 financial crisis reaching US$28,900 for every man, woman and child in the world The surging debt was driven by emerging economies, which have increased borrowing by $3 trillion to $56 trillion. This amounts to 218 percent of their combined economic output, five percentage points greater year on year.

 
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30.06.2017

US: economy grows at stronger-than-expected pace in Q1

The US economy expanded at a stronger-than-initially-expected pace in the March quarter amid higher consumer spending. The Commerce Department reported on Thursday that the domestic economy grew at an annualised pace of 1.4% in the Q1 of 2017, following the preceding quarter's expansion of 2.1% and surpassing the prior estimate of 1.2% growth.

 
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26.06.2017

Airbnb, the best opportunity in the sharing economy

Airbnb has changed the way the world travels since its launch in 2008. The company, which is now valued well into the billions, has helped homeowners across the globe become mini-hoteliers, allowing guests to stay overnight in an extra room, or take over their entire home for a set period of time. To date, the company has helped book more than 160 million guests for its more than three million listings in 190 countries, according to Airbnb’s own statistics.

 
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31.05.2017

Expert Commentary: Focus on US economy

Donald Trump aims to overhaul the financial services system's regulation in order to simplify lending process for banks. In your opinion, is this intention reasonable? Why? That is obviously not a simple question to answer for the reason that a reform of the financial regulatory system in terms of changing the Dodd-Frank needs to be done, but I do not think an overhaul is indeed necessary. What needs to happen is the implementation of some sort of regulations for small to mid-size banks, while regulations for large banks make sense for the most part. A few larger banks here and there need to be reviewed, but the simple fact is that by requiring significantly greater capital, the system is much more stable than it had been and it has been able to withstand the shock and not get into the kind of problems it faced ten years ago. When we talk about reforming the regulatory system, it needs to be done with an eye towards small and mid-size banks, not large banks. Unfortunately, the focus of attention is on larger banks, because they have more money in the government. 

 
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29.05.2017

The American Retail Armageddon (by W. Snyder)

The crisis in the  retail sector, briefly mentioned in Newsletter 161, is ironically speeding up as the sector loses steam if one views the consumer-driven American economy as a train pulled by a 19th century locomotive. The number of store closings may be more than 8,000 in 2017 if the rate current in Q1 continues. Hundreds of mall anchor stores are on schedule to be closed if the train runs on time.

 
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