Since 1987, the high yield sector has generally produced healthy risk-adjusted returns, striking a good balance between return and risk. With almost 30 years of proof of concept, the US high yield sector (as represented by the BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Constrained Index) has provided over 80% of the upside and less than 60% of the downside when compared to equities (as represented by the S&P 500 Index).B As such, high yield remains a strong diversifier within an investor’s portfolio for those who can tolerate the risk. When we consider the expanded opportunity set in the global high-yield market, we think an investor can gain considerable advantages.
The media has credited Trump for the rally in yields and the recent swoon in the equity market. The argument goes that Trump’s policies notably with higher spending, lower taxes and less regulation will be positive for growth and inflation.
According to the FED, the recovery after the crisis of 2008 is coming along nicely although it is a bit slower in Europe. The FOMC is still debating whether a rise in interest rates is indicated, and December seems to be the right month for another rise of 25 basis points.
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